Friday, October 8, 2010

Shanghai Composite: The Tiger Leaps!

My last post, "Shanghai Composite: Crouching Tiger" suggested an impending breakout above 2700. Today, the Tiger took the leap on high volume (+ 3.13%). I have added some long positions with a stop just below 2700. The initial target of 2900 from my last post still stands, with a potential short-medium term target of 3100. Watch out for resistance from the descending trendline.

All the best!

Thursday, October 7, 2010

Hang Seng: Expect Consolidation Here

Last post on the HSI suggested 23000 as the first stop, in this medium-term bullish breakout. We're there now, and also at the top of the channel as shown. Expect a back-test of the breakout here, or at least a sideways consolidation over the next few weeks, before any further upside. A sustained break above 23000 right now might turn it into a strong support level instead.

Wednesday, October 6, 2010

Video (Part 3): Prechter - Investing in Extreme Markets

(Note: This interview was originally recorded on September 20, 2010)

In the video below, Robert Prechter talks to Yahoo! Finance Tech Ticker host Aaron Task and Henry Blodget about a technical pattern he sees forming in the Dow.



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Video (Part 2): Prechter: Ominous Pattern in the DJIA

(Note: This interview was originally recorded on September 20, 2010)

In the video below, Robert Prechter talks to Yahoo! Finance Tech Ticker host Aaron Task and Henry Blodget about a technical pattern he sees forming in the Dow.



Get Up to Speed on Robert Prechter's Latest Perspective — Download this Special FREE Report Now.

Video (Part 1): Prechter On Market Rally

(Note: This interview was originally recorded on September 20, 2010)

In the video below, Robert Prechter talks to Yahoo! Finance Tech Ticker host Aaron Task and Henry Blodget about extreme readings in various indicators that confirm his bear-market forecast.



Get Up to Speed on Robert Prechter's Latest Perspective — Download this Special FREE Report Now.

S&P500: Make or Break time!

In March this year, i suggested "Sell in May and go away", based on a 15-year SPX chart. In May, the SPX peaked at 1220 right on the dot as shown on this chart. Now, it's make-or-break time for the S&P500. It is up against downtrendline resistance joining the Oct07-May10 tops, and overbought. Just above is the long-term trendline(red) that stopped the SPX dead in its tracks in May. Which way is it gonna go?


The answer may lie in this daily chart below. SPX is currently also up against the blue upper channel line.


Considering seasonality, chances are it will turn here. But if it does zoom up above those trendlines, the correction may have ended at point A, and we may be reckoning with a wave 3 up here with a test of the highs looming.

Look for a impulsive decline below 1130, or a continued surge above the downtrendlines.

All the best!