Thursday, December 16, 2010

H&S in H&S UPDATE

Refer to my last post: "H&S in H&S?", suggesting an impending Head & Shoulders short-term top in the Hang Seng (HSI) & Straits Times (STI) Indices. Here are the updated charts.

The HSI has given up on 23600 after a bit of a struggle. Note the volume spike on the last decline. As the hourly is oversold - and we're at the neckline -, a short-term bounce is possible here. A break below the neckline on higher volume, will add strength to the H&S picture with an eventual target around below 21000.


The STI seems to be holding up better, and has not yet reached the neckline. Declining volumes are not high either. However, should this change, we're looking at an eventual target around 2900.

A break above the shoulder line will negate these scenarios. Remember, H&S patterns need not always work out. Weigh the probabilities, and place your stops accordingly.