Friday, January 14, 2011

S&P500: Approaching Multi-Year Congestion

While the trend is still up, here's a multi-year chart showing significant resistance ahead for the SPX.
 

"Wave 1 = Wave 5" is a common relationship. Counting the 5 waves from the July lows, this gives us a target around 1295. Also note that price is approaching the upper trendline. We already talked about the very overbought oscillators and extreme bullish sentiment.


Trying to trade a top or bottom can be a deadly exercise. The more prudent approach would be to wait for a significant trendline break, before taking action with a suitable stop. All the best!
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