Showing posts with label Channel. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Channel. Show all posts

Sunday, March 7, 2010

SGX short-term: Ready for liftoff!

Refer to my last post on SGX: Analysis of Singapore's barometer. I did a long and medium term Elliott Wave analysis, with a bearish primary and bullish alternate view. It's time for a review!

Coupled with action on other world indices, beginning to prefer the bullish alternate view - though i admit its too early to tell. For now, i will present just the short-term picture, and review the wave structure at a later time. Here's the short-term chart:


In the last post, i suggested 7.6 and 7.8 as general areas of support and resistance, which have held, more or less. Noted also was the channel (cyan), which is increasingly looking like a bull flag.

And here's why i think SGX is headed higher:
  1. SGX is sitting right on channel support.
  2. General drop in volume between the lows
  3. Positive divergence in the RSI between the lows
Target & Supports

Short-term target will be in the 8.3 region, or wherever price meets upper trendline. There's a hurdle around 7.8. Above view will be negated if we fall below the lower channel line. Next support 6.8 region.

All the best, and alternate views are appreciated!

Tuesday, February 2, 2010

Shanghai Composite: Bouncing On Support




Shanghai Comp now sitting on support of blue channel line. A weak bounce today, followed by an almost complete retrace. Expecting an ABC style correction up over the rest of the week. Depending on the strength of the bounce, we may reach 3020 or 3050 (38% fibo retrace) as shown by the two arrows. After that i do expect a further decline in the area of 2700 with a possible breach of the lower blue line, as highlighted in this earlier post.

SSEC is facing downward pressure in the medium term.