Since the break above 23000, HSI traced out a successful back-test once, before resuming higher towards 25000. An overbought negative divergence created a sharp move lower, coinciding with the dip in the SSEC. Although now oversold on the hourly, the initial support at 22500 did not hold up. Next solid support level is at 23500, with additional help from the rising channel line. A second successful retest might see us range-bound between 23000-25000 for a while, before launching higher towards 27000 area. A break below 23000, will be bearish medium-term.
Wednesday, November 17, 2010
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